Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.031162 0.036147 0.041677 0.048269 0.055914 0.064507 0.074903
2025-12-21 0.022641 0.028968 0.036703 0.046861 0.059865 0.075975 0.097487
2025-12-28 0.018471 0.025476 0.034699 0.047747 0.065764 0.089825 0.124498
2026-01-04 0.015463 0.022680 0.032777 0.047961 0.070275 0.101970 0.150602
2026-01-11 0.013239 0.020473 0.031137 0.048042 0.074256 0.113527 0.177146
2026-01-18 0.011678 0.018929 0.030130 0.048737 0.079010 0.126568 0.207447
2026-01-25 0.010556 0.017859 0.029630 0.050038 0.084724 0.141633 0.242805
2026-02-01 0.009109 0.016027 0.027618 0.048520 0.085501 0.148639 0.265560
2026-02-08 0.008113 0.014808 0.026441 0.048202 0.088177 0.159024 0.295342
2026-02-15 0.007249 0.013695 0.025284 0.047726 0.090434 0.168833 0.325225
2026-02-22 0.006684 0.013048 0.024866 0.048516 0.095065 0.183424 0.365851
2026-03-01 0.006034 0.012149 0.023860 0.048036 0.097164 0.193426 0.398767
2026-03-08 0.005359 0.011126 0.022510 0.046747 0.097581 0.200370 0.426852
2026-03-15 0.004758 0.010177 0.021192 0.045356 0.097613 0.206553 0.454261
2026-03-22 0.004447 0.009789 0.020965 0.046206 0.102450 0.223248 0.506488
2026-03-29 0.004111 0.009304 0.020472 0.046412 0.105898 0.237373 0.554904
2026-04-05 0.003801 0.008836 0.019955 0.046490 0.109055 0.251217 0.604529
2026-04-12 0.003567 0.008511 0.019715 0.047163 0.113654 0.268865 0.665509
2026-04-19 0.003395 0.008308 0.019725 0.048421 0.119791 0.290828 0.739968
2026-04-26 0.003063 0.007678 0.018662 0.046953 0.119106 0.296408 0.774254
2026-05-03 0.002834 0.007276 0.018097 0.046645 0.121270 0.309220 0.828856
2026-05-10 0.002620 0.006881 0.017502 0.046184 0.122981 0.321091 0.882611
2026-05-17 0.002488 0.006686 0.017385 0.046949 0.128000 0.342083 0.963934